Regulating via Conditionality

Paper on industrial policy conditionalities

Conditionality was a central concern in the development literature of the 1990s. With the significant expansion of targeted public support to private firms since the Great Financial Crisis, the issue of conditionality has once again become a focal point in industrial policy debates. Despite the growing interest in the concept, the existing literature lacks a systematic conceptualization of conditionality within the context of industrial policy and does not outline the political factors that enable state actors to introduce it. This article addresses this gap by critically reviewing the existing literature and providing a systematic political economy of conditionality. We offer an overview of the literature on conditionality, examining different industries, historical periods, and national contexts. In doing so, we make three key contributions to the debate on industrial policy and regulatory instruments more broadly. First, we distinguish between two broad approaches to encoding conditionality in industrial policy: hard-coding and soft-coding. Next, we map the coalitional, institutional, ideational, and global contextual factors that facilitate conditionality. Finally, we present two vignettes of recent industrial policy initiatives in the European Union and the United States as illustrative cases. This conceptual exercise, intended to lay the foundation for future causal research on conditionality, demonstrates that the presence of conditionality is not merely a technical matter of political design but is instead shaped by configurations of political economy factors.

July 2025 · Fabio Bulfone, Timur Ergen & Erez Maggor

New Paper on Industrial Policy Conditionalities

Together with Fabio Bulfone and Erez Maggor I have just published a paper on the politics of conditionality in industrial policy. ...

October 2024 · Timur Ergen
No Strings Attached

Paper on business power and the revival of industrial policy

This paper contributes to Comparative Political Economy (CPE) by developing an analytical concept of corporate welfare. Corporate welfare—the transfer of public funds and benefits to corporate actors with weak or no conditionality—is a prominent form of state-business relations that CPE scholarship regularly overlooks and misinterprets. Such transfers should be understood as a structural privilege of business in a globalized post-Fordist capitalism, and an increasingly common strategy through which states attempt to steward national economic dynamism within a highly constrained range of policy options. However, without a well-developed concept of corporate welfare—premised upon the key criterion of conditionality—studies that identify a ‘return’ of the state in industrial planning misrepresent these transfers to business as a reassertion of state influence and control, rather than a reflection of state weakness and subordination. The paper provides the analytical building blocks to properly conceptualize transfers to business, works out the core challenges for empirical research, and provides empirical illustrations of this burgeoning phenomenon from the fields of unconventional monetary policy, privatization, and urban political economy.

July 2023 · Fabio Bulfone, Timur Ergen & Manolis Kalaitzake
Sociology of Markets Seminar

The Sociology of Markets (MPIfG/Sciences Po)

This seminar aims at providing students with the analytical and conceptual tools to study markets. The conceptual texts and case studies provide insights into different approaches in economic sociology, featuring sessions on recent developments in the economy.

January 2023 · Olivier Pilmis & Timur Ergen

Publication on Industrial Policy in Competition & Change

A new paper in Competition & Change on the decline of conditionality in state aid to business. ...

May 2022 · Timur Ergen